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Index/Topics/Customs duty projections

Customs duty projections

The projections of customs duties by the Congressional Budget Office

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Jan 18, 2026

How have tariff policy changes in 2025 altered federal revenue and the budget baseline?

The 2025 tariff overhaul materially raised federal customs receipts in the near term and materially altered the budget baseline by shaving projected deficits, but the size and persistence of that effe...

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