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Index/Topics/Demographic forecasts

Demographic forecasts

The sensitivity of long-range demographic forecasts to inputs such as fertility, migration, and identity reporting.

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Jan 24, 2026

How might socioeconomic trends and policy changes affect the size and integration of the Muslim population in the UK by 2050?

Multiple sources agree the British will grow this century, but projections vary widely: some academic-style estimates place Muslims at roughly 11–17% by 2050, while alarmist extrapolations have claime...

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