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Index/Topics/Escalation-by-words

Escalation-by-words

The use of threatening rhetoric and warnings by Russia and NATO to escalate tensions without immediate military action.

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2 results
Jan 30, 2026
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What specific scenarios could trigger NATO and Russia into direct war, and what are their estimated probabilities?

Three broad trigger families—rapid conventional attack on a member (most often framed as a ), that crosses Article 5 thresholds (cyber, sabotage, airspace shoot‑downs), and inadvertent escalation from...

Jan 5, 2026

What wars are currently going on in 2026?

As of early 2026, several high-intensity wars are active and a larger set of protracted civil wars, insurgencies and regional flashpoints threaten to either persist or escalate; among the most visible...

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