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Index/Topics/Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets

The use of prediction markets to forecast election outcomes

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1 result
Feb 7, 2026

What have prediction markets and polling implied about the most likely 2028 successors to a term‑limited incumbent?

Prediction markets—aggregators such as , and others—currently price Republican and Democrat as the two single most likely successors in , with markets assigning roughly mid‑teens to high‑twenties perc...

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