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Analyses of the 2026 Senate elections have identified various incumbents up for re-election
The majority will likely be decided in a handful of competitive states rather than a broad national wave: , , , , and emerge repeatedly in trackers and strategy memos as the races most likely to tip c...
State-level polling averages and the direction of those polls — not single surveys — are the single most actionable predictor of a Senate flip in , while forecasts underscore that candidate quality, f...
The 2024 elections handed Republicans a 53–47 edge in the Senate, a shift that makes the 2026 map structurally easier for Republicans and forces Democrats to net four seats to retake control . That ar...
since 2001—party switches, deaths, appointments and special elections—have repeatedly shifted control or effective control of the Senate, sometimes for days and sometimes for the remainder of a Congre...