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Index/Topics/Stock Market Downturn Risk

Stock Market Downturn Risk

The risk of a stock market downturn affecting California's revenue forecast.

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Jan 24, 2026

What assumptions drive the LAO’s $18 billion deficit projection for 2026–27?

for 2026–27 rests on a set of interlocking assumptions: a more conservative revenue outlook that explicitly incorporates a high risk of a (and falling income and capital‑gains receipts), larger consti...

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