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Tensions between Taiwan and China across the Taiwan Strait
Global indicators and expert surveys point to meaningful—but not imminent—risk of a large interstate war that could involve major powers; analysts place conditional probabilities for such escalation i...
A combination of calibrated deterrence and pragmatic diplomacy—backchannel crisis channels, tacit “ground rules,” multilateral mediation, and limited arms-control or signaling measures—emerges from re...
The world is more dangerous in 2026 than in recent years: experts list multiple high-probability, high-impact regional wars and growing great-power tensions, but most authoritative assessments stop sh...