factually
Index/Topics/Uninsured Rate Projections

Uninsured Rate Projections

Estimating the increase in uninsured rates due to the expiration of enhanced ACA premium tax credits, with projections of 4-4.2 million more uninsured

Fact-Checks

4 results
Jan 10, 2026

How would letting enhanced ACA subsidies expire affect uninsured rates and state Medicaid budgets in 2026?

Letting the enhanced ACA premium tax credits expire at the end of 2025 is projected to raise marketplace premiums sharply in 2026 and drive millions out of subsidized coverage, with major increases in...

Jan 9, 2026

How many people will lose coverage if the ACA enhanced subsidies are not extended

Estimates vary: the Congressional Budget Office projected about 2.2 million people would lose marketplace coverage in 2026 if enhanced ACA premium tax credits are not extended (CBO figure reported to ...

Jan 8, 2026

How would extending enhanced ACA premium tax credits affect federal spending and deficit projections?

Permanently extending the enhanced Affordable Care Act (ACA) premium tax credits would raise federal spending and widen projected deficits over the 2026–2035 window while also expanding coverage; the ...

Jan 8, 2026

How many people could become uninsured if enhanced ACA subsidies expire in 2026 according to different analysts?

Analysts place the number of people who could become uninsured in 2026 if the enhanced ACA premium tax credits lapse between roughly 2.2 million and nearly 5 million, with most high-profile estimates ...