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US Geopolitical Risks 2026

The Eurasia Group's report outlines three interlocking mechanisms by which the U.S. political revolution raises the probability of broader geopolitical shocks.

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Jan 29, 2026

This shows how nuclear weapons transformed fear into confrontation, reinforcing insecurities rather than reflecting strategies of aggression.

remade international politics by converting existential fear into a perpetual posture of confrontation: they deterred large-scale wars between major powers while simultaneously institutionalizing mutu...

Jan 13, 2026

What role does U.S. domestic political instability play in increasing global conflict risk according to Eurasia Group?

Eurasia Group’s Top Risks 2026 names a U.S. “political revolution”—centered on President Trump’s efforts to dismantle institutional checks and capture government machinery—as the single biggest source...