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The impact of wartime conditions on U.S. presidential politics, including voter turnout, incumbent advantage, and election outcomes.
: a core of states reliably delivers large margins for Republican presidential candidates while a different set of states and consistently return large margins for Democrats; a smaller group of flips ...
The will put control of impeachment power squarely on a small slate of competitive House districts and a handful of Senate races: need a net gain of roughly three House seats to win the chamber and th...
Six battleground states that carried in 2020—, , , , , and —flipped to in , and those flips were decisive in delivering Trump a clear victory by moving previously “blue wall” electoral votes back into...
’s certified 2024 general election turnout was 5,851,387 ballots cast, or 71.7% of 8,159,946 registered voters, making it the state’s second‑highest turnout by registration percentage and slightly bel...
Wartime conditions reshape U.S. presidential politics through three linked channels: they can suppress turnout by physically displacing or delaying ballots while simultaneously mobilizing new voters—e...