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2024 US Election Trends

Analysis of voter trends and shifts in the 2024 US election, including turnout and vote-switching among younger voters and voters of color

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4 results
Jan 15, 2026
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What demographic groups shifted in 2024 and how did those shifts influence the popular vote?

Multiple reputable post‑election analyses show that the 2024 popular‑vote outcome was driven less by mass party switching than by shifts in who showed up: younger voters, men (especially younger men a...

Jan 28, 2026
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What do longitudinal panel studies say about individual voters switching away from Trump since inauguration compared with cross-sectional polls?

Longitudinal panel studies — which re-interview the same people over time — show that the vast majority of individual voters who backed have remained with him since inauguration, with only a modest mi...

Feb 6, 2026

Which demographic groups shifted most in Trump’s second term approval and how did that compare to shifts in Obama’s second term?

’s second-term approval showed its largest movements among partisans (Republican consolidation and declining independent support), young and nonwhite voters reversing shifts, and regional/state divide...

Jan 20, 2026

Which demographic subgroups shifted toward Trump in 2024 and why, according to post-election surveys?

Donald Trump’s 2024 victory rested on measurable gains among several demographic subgroups: men (especially young men), many nonwhite voters (Hispanic, Black and Asian subgroups), naturalized citizens...