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Index/Topics/Muslim population growth by 2050

Muslim population growth by 2050

The Muslim population is projected to grow substantially by 2050, driven by demographic factors such as higher fertility and a younger age structure, with Muslims expected to constitute roughly three-in-ten people worldwide by 2050.

Fact-Checks

3 results
Jan 16, 2026
Most Viewed

What are Pew Research Center’s three migration scenarios and how do they change Europe’s 2050 demographics?

Pew Research Center modeled three clear migration scenarios—zero, medium and high—to show how different future flows would affect the size and share of Europe’s Muslim population by 2050, finding grow...

Jan 22, 2026
Most Viewed

What are projections for Muslim American population growth due to fertility?

Major demographic models — most prominently — project rapid growth of the in coming decades and attribute a substantial share of that growth to higher-than-average fertility among Muslim Americans com...

Feb 5, 2026

What % of the Muslim population is estimated to be radical?

There is no single, authoritative percentage of Muslims who are “”; estimates in public reporting and intelligence circles range from fractions of a percent up to the mid‑teens depending on definition...

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