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Social Security trust fund projections

Changes to the COLA formula could affect trust-fund projections for Social Security's finances

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Jan 15, 2026
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How much did federal borrowing against Social Security trust funds change under different presidents?

Federal borrowing “against” the Social Security trust funds means the Treasury issues special-issue securities to the OASI/DI trusts and records intragovernmental debt; that practice has been constant...

Feb 3, 2026

How does redeeming Social Security trust fund bonds affect federal borrowing and the publicly held national debt?

trust‑fund bonds forces to convert intragovernmental IOUs into cash outlays that must be financed by taxes, cuts, or new borrowing; in practice that often raises publicly held Treasury debt even while...