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UK Muslim population projections

Projections of the Muslim population in the UK by 2050, considering factors like fertility and migration

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Jan 29, 2026
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What assumptions drive wildly different projections for the UK Muslim population in 2050 and beyond, and which institutions publish them?

Projections of the ’s Muslim population in 2050 range from single‑digit shares to claims of an eventual Muslim majority because different studies start from different baselines and adopt sharply diffe...

Feb 5, 2026

What are the current projections for Muslim population in Europe by 2050?

’s widely cited modelling projects ’s Muslim share will be between about 7% and 14% by 2050 depending on migration; the “medium” (most plausible) scenario yields roughly 11.2% and about 35–59 million ...