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At the end of FY 2024 (September 30, 2024) the U.S. federal debt totaled about $35.5 trillion on a gross basis reported by GAO auditing Treasury’s schedules, while “debt held by the public” — the econ...
President Trump’s policies and actions coincided with a falling fiscal 2025 deficit—from about $1.8 trillion in FY2024 to roughly $1.775–$1.8 trillion in FY2025—largely aided by a surge in tariff (cus...
Estimates of “Medicare for All” (M4A) vary widely: some long-run federal cost projections run into the tens of trillions over a decade, while more targeted plan-by-plan analyses assume multi‑year tran...
Independent forecasts under “current policy” assumptions show U.S. federal debt held by the public rising from roughly 100 percent of GDP today to roughly 118–120 percent of GDP by 2035 under mainstre...
Two independent estimates commonly used in recent debate arrive at very different per‑removal figures because they answer different questions with different tools: the Penn Wharton Budget Model (PWBM)...
The sources provided do not contain a single, unambiguous “final Treasury statement” line that reports U.S. Customs and Border Protection’s tariff receipts for the calendar year 2025; reporting and ag...
Current projections for U.S. tariff revenue under the set of tariffs imposed through 2025–early 2026 range widely but cluster between roughly $190 billion and $325 billion for calendar/fiscal year 202...
The fastest drivers of U.S. debt growth in fiscal 2025 were mandatory benefit programs and rising net interest costs, with Social Security, Medicare and interest on the public debt cited repeatedly as...
The American Rescue Plan Act of 2021 (ARPA) removed the Affordable Care Act’s 400% federal poverty level (FPL) eligibility cliff for premium tax credits for the 2021 and 2022 tax/coverage years and ca...
Multiple U.S. think tanks and official budget agencies produced 2024-era estimates of fiscal impacts; prominent contributors in the material supplied include seven organizations convened by the Peter ...
Republican proposals in 2025 — including Project 2025, the Republican Study Committee blueprint, and House budget plans — would convert Medicaid’s open-ended federal matching into fixed block grants o...
Per‑capita caps or block grants to Medicaid are projected to reduce federal Medicaid spending substantially over the next decade, but the magnitude and downstream effects vary across analyses and depe...