Index/Organizations/National Bureau of Economic Research

National Bureau of Economic Research

Economic research organization in the United States

Fact-Checks

54 results
Dec 9, 2025
Most Viewed

Is Fox News Biased?

Major media-watchers and academic studies identify Fox News as having a conservative or right-leaning editorial posture, with evidence that its programming and opinion shows have influenced voting and...

Nov 21, 2025
Most Viewed

Is teaching no longer a profession according

Research and reporting show the status and attractiveness of teaching have fallen in recent years—with surveys and analyses describing near half‑century lows in perceived prestige, widespread shortage...

Jan 11, 2026
Most Viewed

What were the official U.S. unemployment rates by year from 1929 to 1936 according to BLS and historical reconstructions?

The Bureau of Labor Statistics’ reconstructed annual unemployment series for 1929–1939—published in a 1948 technical note and later loaded into BLS databases—provides the “official” annual unemploymen...

Dec 16, 2025

in percent of US total tax revenue, how much is paid by billionaires?

Recent academic work finds U.S. billionaires pay far lower effective tax rates than most Americans: the NBER/Saez–Yagan–Zucman paper and related Berkeley coverage report that the 400 wealthiest Americ...

Dec 11, 2025

Do immigrants lower U.S. test scores and raise the amount of crime in the country?

Research does not support a simple claim that immigrants lower U.S. test scores or raise crime. Multiple peer-reviewed and policy studies find immigrant presence often correlates with equal or higher ...

Jan 18, 2026

Who ultimately bore the cost of Trump-era tariffs—U.S. consumers, importers, or foreign exporters?

The bulk of evidence from academic studies and contemporary reporting shows Trump-era tariffs were paid upfront by U.S. importers to the Treasury but economically passed on mainly to U.S. firms and co...

Dec 9, 2025

What percentage of white women owned slaves, why, and what percentage of them personally bought them, versu black woners

Recent scholarship overturns the idea that female slaveholding was rare: region-specific analyses and transaction records show white women made up roughly 30–40% of recorded slaveowners or participati...

Nov 22, 2025

did tariffs cause the great depression

Scholars and contemporary reporting agree tariffs — especially the 1930 Smoot–Hawley Tariff — did not cause the Great Depression by themselves but meaningfully worsened and prolonged it by shrinking g...

Jan 18, 2026

What impact have 2025 tariffs had on consumer prices and which sectors show the biggest pass‑through?

Estimates converge on a clear conclusion: 2025 tariffs have meaningfully pushed up consumer prices, but by how much and how quickly varies sharply across studies — short‑run headline effects cluster a...

Jan 16, 2026

How do changes in net immigration affect wages for native low-skilled workers across different U.S. states?

Empirical evidence on how changes in net immigration affect wages for native low‑skilled workers is mixed: many high‑quality reviews and recent papers find small or negligible long‑run effects on low‑...

Jan 16, 2026

Can you compare the federal deficits for the past 15 years

The past 15 fiscal years show a clear arc: deficits fell from the Great Recession peak into the mid-2010s, widened again after 2017 tax and spending changes, exploded during the COVID pandemic, and th...

Dec 5, 2025

Is the us heading into a resesstion

Economists and market forecasters disagree: big banks and research groups currently place the odds of a U.S. recession in 2025 well below certainty — J.P. Morgan lowered its 2025 recession probability...

Nov 28, 2025

Gun control has no effect on crime

Academic reviews and policy groups disagree on magnitude and causation, but multiple systematic analyses find that some gun policies are associated with reduced firearm deaths while other studies find...

Nov 7, 2025

Which president oversaw the largest economic expansion in US history?

The question “Which president oversaw the largest economic expansion in US history?” cannot be answered with a single name because sources use different . The longest continuous expansion by duration ...

Oct 28, 2025

What is the average tax rate paid by billionaires in the United States?

Recent research finds that the richest Americans—the roughly 400 households at the top 0.0002%—paid an average total effective tax rate of about for 2018–2020, materially lower than the and far below ...

Jan 16, 2026

Which historical commodity markets (e.g., lithium, rare earths) show similar transitions from paper pricing to physical-driven price discovery, and what lessons apply to silver?

Several commodity markets have shifted or oscillated between “paper” pricing dominated by futures, indices and financialized instruments and periods where physical fundamentals—inventory, deliverable ...

Nov 21, 2025

teaching is no longer a profession?

Current reporting and research show the teaching profession is under severe strain — low prestige, rising vacancies, and worsening well‑being — but available sources do not say teaching has ceased to ...

Nov 3, 2025

Immigrant crime

The broad body of recent research shows , and many studies find they are substantially less likely to be incarcerated or arrested for felony offenses. National and long-run analyses — including a Nort...

Jan 21, 2026

What do independent economic assessments say about Brexit's impact on UK GDP, investment, and productivity?

Independent academic and official assessments converge on a clear negative signal: has materially reduced GDP, sharply depressed business investment, and modestly but meaningfully dented productivity—...

Jan 21, 2026

what does america oweing debt do to the country

America’s large and rising national debt increases the government’s interest burden, reduces fiscal flexibility, and—if unchecked—will slow long‑run economic growth and raise the risk of fiscal stress...