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Sabato's Crystal Ball

Political newsletter and election predictor

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Dec 1, 2025
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How many seats do Republicans and Democrats hold in the 2025 Senate and how many are up for reelection in 2026?

Republicans hold a 53‑seat majority in the 119th Senate while Democrats (including two independents who caucus with them) make up the remaining 47 seats (45 Democrats + 2 Independents) — Senate.gov li...

Dec 4, 2025
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Which Senate seats are up for election in 2026?

The 2026 U.S. Senate map will include the regularly scheduled Class 2 cycle — 33 seats — plus at least two special elections that some outlets count, producing either 33 or 35 contests depending on th...

Nov 5, 2025
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which political party will control the house and the senent in 2026

The question of which party will control the U.S. House and Senate after the 2026 elections is unresolved and depends on a shifting set of structural factors, individual race dynamics, and national po...

Oct 2, 2025

What are the current polls for the 2026 House elections?

The current publicly cited polling landscape for the 2026 U.S. House elections shows a modest on the generic congressional ballot, with poll aggregates reporting Democrats ahead by roughly 2–3 points ...

Oct 27, 2025

Which House districts are most likely to flip in 2026?

The best public lists and trackers indicate a short roster of competitive House districts to watch in 2026, with advocacy groups and interactive map projects repeatedly flagging seats such as AK-AL, A...

Nov 11, 2025

What are the projections for US House seats in 2026 elections?

Most major forecasters in spring–summer 2025 present a competitive, district‑by‑district 2026 U.S. House landscape in which Democrats have pathways to a narrow majority but forecasts diverge: some dat...

Dec 9, 2025

Which 2026 Senate races are rated as toss-ups by major forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball?

Major forecasters currently list a small group of 2026 Senate contests as true “Toss‑ups.” Cook Political Report says two races — Georgia (Ossoff) and Michigan (open after Sen. Gary Peters’ retirement...

Dec 6, 2025

Which U.S. Senate seats are contested in the 2026 midterm elections by state?

All regularly scheduled Class 2 Senate seats (33 states) are on the 2026 ballot, plus two special elections — in Florida and Ohio — bringing the total to either 35 seats according to several trackers ...

Nov 12, 2025

Key battleground states in 2026 Senate elections

The reporting and ratings literature supplied point to a recurring cluster of swing states — — as the most frequently cited battlegrounds for the 2026 U.S. Senate elections, though lists vary and incl...

Dec 15, 2025

Which specific House districts in battleground states are most likely to flip in 2026?

Democrats need a net gain of three House seats to win the majority in 2026, and party campaign arms have already identified a concentrated battleground: the DCCC lists roughly 35 Republican-held targe...

Dec 3, 2025

Which 2025–2026 special House elections are most likely to flip control of the chamber?

Republicans hold a slim 219–213 House majority entering the 119th Congress, with at least six special elections expected in 2025–2026 that could shift that margin . Because Democrats need to net only ...

Nov 22, 2025

How might 2026 Senate elections affect majority control?

Republicans enter 2026 with a Senate majority in the low-to-mid 50s (sources cite 53–53/52–53 ranges) and are defending more seats on the map that analysts broadly judge favorable to the GOP; Democrat...

Nov 16, 2025

Which states have historically voted democratic in Senate elections?

Across U.S. history the party that has dominated Senate seats by state has shifted dramatically: in the 19th and early 20th centuries party labels and regional blocs (Federalists, Democratic‑Republica...

Jan 6, 2026

Which U.S. states currently have one-party House delegations and which party controls each?

A recent accounting of the 119th Congress shows a notable rise in states whose entire U.S. House delegations belong to a single party; Smart Politics and related election analyses identify a core set ...

Jan 6, 2026

what states have no Republican Representatives in the US House? and what is the percent of Republicans in those states? And how many US Representatives do those states have in the House.

A precise, up-to-date list of U.S. states that currently have no Republican members in the U.S. House of Representatives cannot be compiled from the documents provided: the sources include national-le...

Jan 4, 2026

Which states have Republican Senate seats up in 2026?

Republicans are defending the bulk of the Senate map in 2026: sources agree that Republicans hold roughly 20 of the 33 regularly scheduled Class II seats up that year, and when two special elections (...

Dec 6, 2025

Which 2026 House election toss-up seats have the highest campaign spending?

There is no single, public list in the supplied reporting that ranks 2026 “Toss‑up” U.S. House seats by campaign spending. Political trackers identify roughly 10 initial Toss‑up seats and broader batt...

Dec 6, 2025

Which states are key toss-ups for the 2026 Senate and who are the likely candidates?

The 2026 Senate map strongly favors Republicans: Democrats defend 13 seats to Republicans’ roughly 20–22 on the regular ballot, and analysts list a small core of true toss-ups centered on Georgia, Mic...

Dec 6, 2025

How many states had unanimous-party U.S. House delegations after the 2024 elections?

After the 2024 elections, 30 state House delegations were entirely Republican and 18 were entirely Democratic; two states (Colorado and Minnesota) had split delegations, producing 48 single‑party dele...

Nov 30, 2025

Which 2026 Republican Senate races are considered toss-ups or competitive by major forecasters?

Major forecasters currently list a small set of true toss-ups in the 2026 Senate map: Georgia and Michigan are repeatedly named as Toss‑ups by Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections and Roll Call, wi...