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The potential escalation of the conflict between Russia and NATO, with possible pathways to direct confrontation by 2026
Three broad trigger families—rapid conventional attack on a member (most often framed as a ), that crosses Article 5 thresholds (cyber, sabotage, airspace shoot‑downs), and inadvertent escalation from...
Ukraine’s ability to blunt and attrit Russian forces reflects unusually high mobilization, sustained Western materiel support, and the fact that Russia’s offensive is concentrated on Ukrainian territo...
Major Western think tanks converge around a small set of plausible 2026 futures for the Russia–Ukraine war: a prolonged, high‑intensity war of attrition that continues into 2026; limited Russian tacti...
The next major war being fought as a classic, large-scale, conventional conflict on American soil remains unlikely; however, authoritative U.S. strategy and threat assessments now treat the homeland a...
There is no credible, evidence‑based date for “when will happen”; the concept remains hypothetical and debated among historians, strategists and pundits . Expert surveys and leaked scenario planning f...